Экономика

КРИЗИС НЕВОСПРОИЗВОДИМОСТИ

Успешно воспроизведённые исследования

Макроэкономика

https://www.federalreserve.gov/econresdata/feds/2015/files/2015083pap.pdf


Мультипликаторы во время эконом. рецессии

  • Auerbach, Alan J., and Yuriy Gorodnichenko, “Measuring the Output Responses to FiscalPolicy,” American Economic Journal: Economic Policy 4:2 (2012), 1-27.
  • Auerbach, Alan J., and Yuriy Gorodnichenko, “Corrigendum: Measuring the Output Re-sponses to Fiscal Policy,” American Economic Journal: Economic Policy 5:3 (2013), 320-322.

=
Во время второй мировой войны, налоги в бОльшей степени тратились на оборону. В целом это негативно сказывалось на ВВП. (мультипликатор защитных расходов отрицателен).

  • Barro, Robert J., and Charles J. Redlick, “Macroeconomic Effects from Government Pur-chases and Taxes,” Quarterly Journal of Economics 126:1 (2011), 51-102.

=
Влияние колебаний цены на нефть на Американскую экономику и изменение этого влияния со временем.

  • Baumeister, Christiane, and Gert Peersman, “Time-Varying Effects of Oil Supply Shocks onthe US Economy,” American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics 5:4 (2013), 1-28.

=

  • Canova, Fabio, and Luca Gambetti, “Do Expectations Matter? The Great ModerationRevisited,” American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics 2:3 (2010), 183-205.
  • Carey, Colleen, and Stephen H. Shore, “From the Peaks to the Valleys: Cross-State Evidenceon Income Volatility Over the Business Cycle,” Review of Economics and Statistics 95:2(2013), 549-562.
  • Chen, Han, Vasco Curdia, and Andrea Ferrero, “The Macroeconomic Effects of Large-scaleAsset Purchase Programmes,” Economic Journal 122:564 (2012), F289-F315.
  • Clark, Todd E., and Michael W. McCracken, “Averaging Forecasts from VARs with UncertainInstabilities,” Journal of Applied Econometrics 25:1 (2010), 5-29.
  • Corsetti, Giancarlo, André Meier, and Gernot J. Müller, “Fiscal Stimulus with SpendingReversals,” Review of Economics and Statistics 94:4 (2012), 878-895.
  • D’Agostino, Antonello, and Palo Surico, “A Century of Inflation Forecasts,” Review of Eco-nomics and Statistics 94:4 (2012), 1097-1106.
  • Den Haan, Wouter J., and Vincent Sterk, “The Myth of Financial Innovation and the GreatModeration,” Economic Journal 121:553 (2011), 707-739.
  • Favero, Carlo, and Giavazzi, Francesco, “Measuring Tax Multipliers: The Narrative Methodin Fiscal VARs,” American Economic Journal: Economic Policy 4:2 (2012), 69-94.
  • Gabaix, Xavier, “The Granular Origins of Aggregate Fluctuations,” Econometrica 79:3(2011), 733-772.
  • Hansen, Peter R., Asger Lunde, and James M. Nason, “The Model Confidence Set,” Econo-metrica 79:2 (2011), 453-497.
  • Heutel, Garth, “How Should Environmental Policy Respond to Business Cycles? OptimalPolicy Under Persistent Productivity Shocks,” Review of Economic Dynamics 15:2 (2012),244-264.
  • Inoue, Atsushi, and Barbara Rossi, “Identifying the Sources of Instabilities in MacroeconomicFluctuations,” Review of Economics and Statistics 93:4 (2011), 1186-1204.
  • Ireland, Peter N., “On the Welfare Cost of Inflation and the Recent Behavior of MoneyDemand,” American Economic Review 99:3 (2009), 1040-1052.
  • Kilian, Lutz, “Not All Oil Price Shocks Are Alike: Disentangling Demand and Supply Shocksin the Crude Oil Market,” American Economic Review 99:3 (2009), 1053-1069.
  • Kormilitsina, Anna, “Oil Price Shocks and the Optimality of Monetary Policy,” Review ofEconomic Dynamics 14:1 (2011), 199-223.
  • Krishnamurthy, Arvind, and Annette Vissing-Jorgensen, “The Aggregate Demand for Trea-sury Debt,” Journal of Political Economy 120:2 (2012), 233-267.
  • Mavroeidis, Sophocles, “Monetary Policy Rules and Macroeconomic Stability: Some NewEvidence,” American Economic Review 100:1 (2010), 491-503.
  • Mertens, Karel, and Morten O. Ravn, “Understanding the Aggregate Effects of Anticipatedand Unanticipated Tax Policy Shocks,” Review of Economic Dynamics 14:1 (2011), 27-54.
  • Mertens, Karel, and Morten O. Ravn, “The Dynamic Effects of Personal and CorporateIncome Tax Changes in the United States,” American Economic Review 103:4 (2013),1212-1247.
  • Morley, James, and Jeremy Piger, “The Asymmetric Business Cycle,” Review of Economicsand Statistics 94:1 (2012), 208-221.
  • Nakov, Anton, and Andrea Pescatori, “Oil and the Great Moderation,” Economic Journal120:543 (2010), 131-156.
  • Ramey, Valerie A., “Identifying Government Spending Shocks: It’s all in the Timing,” Quar-terly Journal of Economics 126:1 (2011), 1-50.
  • Reis, Ricardo, and Mark W. Watson, “Relative Goods’ Prices, Pure Inflation, and ThePhillips Correlation,” American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics 2:3 (2010), 128-157.
  • Romer, Christina D., and David H. Romer, “The Macroeconomic Effects of Tax Changes:Estimates Based on a New Measure of Fiscal Shocks,” American Economic Review 100:3(2010), 763-801.
  • Schmitt-Grohé, Stephanie, and Martín Uribe, “Business Cycles with a Common Trend inNeutral and Investment-Specific Productivity,” Review of Economic Dynamics 14:1 (2011),122-135.
  • Schmitt-Grohé, Stephanie, and Martín Uribe, “What’s News in Business Cycles,” Economet-rica 80:6 (2012), 2733-2764.

Лабораторные эксперименты

https://www.federalreserve.gov/econresdata/feds/2015/files/2015083pap.pdf



Пока не указано иное, содержимое этой страницы распространяется по лицензии Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 3.0 License